In our last article on gold supply, we mentioned that one needs to be careful applying conventional commodity supply/demand analysis to gold.
Unlike many commodities, the share of industrial uses is very small, less than 10%. Most gold demand is either jewellery or investment of one sort or another.
When looking at any commodity, mine supply is an important factor into the overall supply/demand balance. The cost involved in getting a mine into operation can mean that they will continue to operate and produce their commodity at a consistent rate as long as the market price is above cash costs. The time involved in finding and building a mine can mean that increases in price do not result in new supply immediately coming into the market – often that occurs years later.